Ongoing global warming driven by accumulating greenhouse gas concentrations continues to push monthly temperature anomalies higher, with 2025 already ranking among the warmest years on record according to NOAA and NASA data. Trader consensus for an August 2026 global mean temperature increase exceeding 1.29°C reflects this established trend, reinforced by persistent ocean heat content and the absence of strong La Niña cooling in recent model runs. Historical baselines show August anomalies typically track annual means within 0.1–0.2°C, making a sharp reversal improbable before month-end data finalization. New satellite and surface observations expected in early September could still adjust final figures if rapid regional cooling emerges, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.29ºC 96.0%
1.25–1.29ºC 3.6%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
<1.10ºC <1%
$13,858 ปริมาณ
$13,858 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
<1.10ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
<1%
1.15–1.19ºC
<1%
1.20–1.24ºC
1%
1.25–1.29ºC
4%
>1.29ºC
96%
>1.29ºC 96.0%
1.25–1.29ºC 3.6%
1.20–1.24ºC <1%
<1.10ºC <1%
$13,858 ปริมาณ
$13,858 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
<1.10ºC
$877 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
$999 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.15–1.19ºC
$1,121 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.20–1.24ºC
$2,077 ปริมาณ
1%
1.25–1.29ºC
$2,513 ปริมาณ
4%
>1.29ºC
$6,270 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Ongoing global warming driven by accumulating greenhouse gas concentrations continues to push monthly temperature anomalies higher, with 2025 already ranking among the warmest years on record according to NOAA and NASA data. Trader consensus for an August 2026 global mean temperature increase exceeding 1.29°C reflects this established trend, reinforced by persistent ocean heat content and the absence of strong La Niña cooling in recent model runs. Historical baselines show August anomalies typically track annual means within 0.1–0.2°C, making a sharp reversal improbable before month-end data finalization. New satellite and surface observations expected in early September could still adjust final figures if rapid regional cooling emerges, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,858วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Ongoing global warming driven by accumulating greenhouse gas concentrations continues to push monthly temperature anomalies higher, with 2025 already ranking among the warmest years on record according to NOAA and NASA data. Trader consensus for an August 2026 global mean temperature increase exceeding 1.29°C reflects this established trend, reinforced by persistent ocean heat content and the absence of strong La Niña cooling in recent model runs. Historical baselines show August anomalies typically track annual means within 0.1–0.2°C, making a sharp reversal improbable before month-end data finalization. New satellite and surface observations expected in early September could still adjust final figures if rapid regional cooling emerges, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,858วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing global warming driven by accumulating greenhouse gas concentrations continues to push monthly temperature anomalies higher, with 2025 already ranking among the warmest years on record according to NOAA and NASA data. Trader consensus for an August 2026 global mean temperature increase exceeding 1.29°C reflects this established trend, reinforced by persistent ocean heat content and the absence of strong La Niña cooling in recent model runs. Historical baselines show August anomalies typically track annual means within 0.1–0.2°C, making a sharp reversal improbable before month-end data finalization. New satellite and surface observations expected in early September could still adjust final figures if rapid regional cooling emerges, though current conditions make such shifts unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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