Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$30,130 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,130 ปริมาณ
Mike Thompson
$7,192 ปริมาณ
97%
Eric Jones
$4,925 ปริมาณ
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 ปริมาณ
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$894 ปริมาณ
8%
Trevor Merrell
$9,889 ปริมาณ
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 ปริมาณ
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,429 ปริมาณ
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,695 ปริมาณ
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,130วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,130วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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