Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRamzan Kadyrov 98.1%
Apti Alaudinov <1%
Khalid Nakayev <1%
Magomed Daudov <1%
$10,973 ปริมาณ
$10,973 ปริมาณ
Ramzan Kadyrov
98%
Apti Alaudinov
1%
Khalid Nakayev
1%
Magomed Daudov
1%
Ismail Denilkhanov
<1%
Adam Delimkhanov
<1%
Akhmat Kadyrov
<1%
Adam Kadyrov
<1%
Ramzan Kadyrov 98.1%
Apti Alaudinov <1%
Khalid Nakayev <1%
Magomed Daudov <1%
$10,973 ปริมาณ
$10,973 ปริมาณ
Ramzan Kadyrov
98%
Apti Alaudinov
1%
Khalid Nakayev
1%
Magomed Daudov
1%
Ismail Denilkhanov
<1%
Adam Delimkhanov
<1%
Akhmat Kadyrov
<1%
Adam Kadyrov
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding 98.1% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency since 2007, unanimous United Russia nomination, and consistent official results above 97% in prior votes. The September 18–20, 2026, contest features limited registered challengers such as Ismail Denilkhanov and Khalid Nakayev, with Kadyrov actively directing security measures, highlighting infrastructure projects, and reporting Chechen contributions to the special military operation in the weeks before voting. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of administrative resources and alignment with federal authorities in Russian regional elections. Even at this level, outcomes could shift only through an abrupt health-related withdrawal or an unforeseen Kremlin directive altering the field before polls close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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