The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 1st congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+12 and consistent Democratic general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Luke Bronin’s victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 Democratic primary removed any lingering uncertainty about the party’s standard-bearer, while the Republican nominee, Amy Chai, faces structural headwinds in a district centered on Hartford. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic therefore tracks the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing driven by factors such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, exceptionally low Democratic turnout, or a national political environment that produces historic coattails—developments that remain low-probability events this far from November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,594 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$3,974 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 1st congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+12 and consistent Democratic general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Luke Bronin’s victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 Democratic primary removed any lingering uncertainty about the party’s standard-bearer, while the Republican nominee, Amy Chai, faces structural headwinds in a district centered on Hartford. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic therefore tracks the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing driven by factors such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, exceptionally low Democratic turnout, or a national political environment that produces historic coattails—developments that remain low-probability events this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 1st congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+12 and consistent Democratic general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Luke Bronin’s victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 Democratic primary removed any lingering uncertainty about the party’s standard-bearer, while the Republican nominee, Amy Chai, faces structural headwinds in a district centered on Hartford. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic therefore tracks the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing driven by factors such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, exceptionally low Democratic turnout, or a national political environment that produces historic coattails—developments that remain low-probability events this far from November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Connecticut’s 1st congressional district due to its strong partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+12 and consistent Democratic general-election margins above 25 points in recent cycles. Luke Bronin’s victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson in the August 11 Democratic primary removed any lingering uncertainty about the party’s standard-bearer, while the Republican nominee, Amy Chai, faces structural headwinds in a district centered on Hartford. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic therefore tracks the district’s voting history and the absence of competitive crossover dynamics. A Republican upset would require an unusually large swing driven by factors such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, exceptionally low Democratic turnout, or a national political environment that produces historic coattails—developments that remain low-probability events this far from November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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