Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and ongoing work with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan underpin the 24.5% implied probability for an 8–11B closing market cap, aligning with secondary trading levels near $8.5B as of mid-2026. Revenue has expanded to roughly $725M ARR with 21% year-over-year growth, yet the valuation remains compressed from the 2021 peak above $15B amid broader IPO market caution and SEC processing delays. The 21.5% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect execution risks tied to macroeconomic conditions, competitive pressures in social platforms, and potential shifts in monetary policy affecting risk appetite. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or earnings that could clarify path and pricing multiples relative to peers like Snap or Reddit.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.5%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.5%
$29,931 ปริมาณ
$29,931 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
16%
5–8B
12%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
6%
14–17B
3%
17–20B
5%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.5%
<5B 16%
20B+ 15.5%
$29,931 ปริมาณ
$29,931 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$2,191 ปริมาณ
16%
5–8B
$3,007 ปริมาณ
12%
8–11B
$11,293 ปริมาณ
25%
11–14B
$2,545 ปริมาณ
6%
14–17B
$1,583 ปริมาณ
3%
17–20B
$4,183 ปริมาณ
5%
20B+
$1,610 ปริมาณ
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$3,521 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and ongoing work with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan underpin the 24.5% implied probability for an 8–11B closing market cap, aligning with secondary trading levels near $8.5B as of mid-2026. Revenue has expanded to roughly $725M ARR with 21% year-over-year growth, yet the valuation remains compressed from the 2021 peak above $15B amid broader IPO market caution and SEC processing delays. The 21.5% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect execution risks tied to macroeconomic conditions, competitive pressures in social platforms, and potential shifts in monetary policy affecting risk appetite. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or earnings that could clarify path and pricing multiples relative to peers like Snap or Reddit.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,931วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and ongoing work with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan underpin the 24.5% implied probability for an 8–11B closing market cap, aligning with secondary trading levels near $8.5B as of mid-2026. Revenue has expanded to roughly $725M ARR with 21% year-over-year growth, yet the valuation remains compressed from the 2021 peak above $15B amid broader IPO market caution and SEC processing delays. The 21.5% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect execution risks tied to macroeconomic conditions, competitive pressures in social platforms, and potential shifts in monetary policy affecting risk appetite. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or earnings that could clarify path and pricing multiples relative to peers like Snap or Reddit.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,931วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential S-1 filing in January 2026 and ongoing work with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan underpin the 24.5% implied probability for an 8–11B closing market cap, aligning with secondary trading levels near $8.5B as of mid-2026. Revenue has expanded to roughly $725M ARR with 21% year-over-year growth, yet the valuation remains compressed from the 2021 peak above $15B amid broader IPO market caution and SEC processing delays. The 21.5% odds on no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect execution risks tied to macroeconomic conditions, competitive pressures in social platforms, and potential shifts in monetary policy affecting risk appetite. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or earnings that could clarify path and pricing multiples relative to peers like Snap or Reddit.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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