Polls for El Salvador’s February 28, 2027 legislative election show Nuevas Ideas projected to secure 51–56 of the 60 seats, leaving second place contested among small opposition parties amid low single-digit national support levels. Recent surveys place PCN, Vamos, and ARENA ahead of FMLN, GANA, PDC, and others in limited departmental or overseas voting scenarios, yet none approach double-digit shares consistently. The race remains tight because the opposition is fragmented, public preference data favors continuity on security outcomes, and structural changes including the new overseas constituency and reduced public financing limit smaller parties’ visibility. Candidate registration through mid-November and any shifts in departmental turnout or coalition signals before the February vote could alter relative positioning among these contenders.