Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
ใหม่
$19,923 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,923 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
<40
36%
40-64
49%
65-89
13%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 36%
65-89 13%
90-114 3.4%
ใหม่
$19,923 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,923 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
<40
$163 ปริมาณ
36%
40-64
$620 ปริมาณ
49%
65-89
$966 ปริมาณ
13%
90-114
$1,494 ปริมาณ
3%
115-139
$1,224 ปริมาณ
1%
140-164
$514 ปริมาณ
<1%
165-189
$268 ปริมาณ
<1%
190-214
$4,896 ปริมาณ
<1%
215-239
$4,202 ปริมาณ
<1%
240+
$5,576 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,923วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 9 12:00 PM ET to July 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,923วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clearest fit for Elon Musk’s typical X activity over a quiet three-day stretch, reflecting his established pattern of posting replies, commentary, and updates at a moderate but steady clip when no major company announcements or global events dominate his feed. The sub-40 bucket sits close behind because Musk’s volume can drop sharply during travel, family time, or focused work periods, creating meaningful downside risk. Higher brackets remain thin because sustained 20-plus tweets per day usually require external catalysts such as product launches or political developments, none of which appear on the immediate horizon before July 9. With the window only days away, any last-minute news cycle or Musk interview could quickly shift the distribution between the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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