Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$144,069 ปริมาณ
$144,069 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$144,069 ปริมาณ
$144,069 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$30,787 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,780 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$6,611 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$8,803 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$14,420 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$35,568 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$17,505 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,312 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,763 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$12,987 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144,069วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$144,069วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing’s May 17 high temperature will reach 19 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Numerical weather prediction runs show minimal deviation from this range, with observed afternoon readings aligning closely to agency guidance and supporting the overwhelming market-implied probability near 99.6 percent for the 19 °C outcome. Late-day stabilization of surface temperatures and limited convective activity reduce the likelihood of significant upward or downward revisions before official daily maximums are recorded. Only an unexpected strengthening of northerly winds or rapid cloud buildup could shift the final high outside the narrow 18–20 °C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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