Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C on June 12 amid early-winter conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. June climatology places average highs at 15–16°C, with limited diurnal warming due to shorter daylight, stable high-pressure influence, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Model runs show modest variability tied to boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, keeping probabilities balanced between 15°C and 18°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges where extremes above 19°C or below 14°C remain rare without significant synoptic shifts. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 12?
16°C 36%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
36%
17°C
27%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
7%
16°C 36%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 9%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
20%
16°C
36%
17°C
27%
18°C
9%
19°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Buenos Aires indicate a daily maximum near 16–17°C on June 12 amid early-winter conditions, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. June climatology places average highs at 15–16°C, with limited diurnal warming due to shorter daylight, stable high-pressure influence, and minimal warm-air advection from the north. Model runs show modest variability tied to boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, keeping probabilities balanced between 15°C and 18°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical ranges where extremes above 19°C or below 14°C remain rare without significant synoptic shifts. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours could refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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