Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 78°F on June 12, driven by typical early-summer patterns of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 78-79°F, reflecting historical June averages of 77-79°F and current model runs showing minimal deviation. Key variables include the extent of afternoon thunderstorm activity, which could enhance cooling through increased moisture, versus clearer skies that might hold temperatures slightly higher. Shifts in steering winds or unexpected rain timing introduce the observed spread across nearby bins, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Miami International Airport. Updated model guidance before sunset on June 12 will likely refine trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on June 12?
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 31%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 16%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 78°F on June 12, driven by typical early-summer patterns of high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 78-79°F, reflecting historical June averages of 77-79°F and current model runs showing minimal deviation. Key variables include the extent of afternoon thunderstorm activity, which could enhance cooling through increased moisture, versus clearer skies that might hold temperatures slightly higher. Shifts in steering winds or unexpected rain timing introduce the observed spread across nearby bins, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at Miami International Airport. Updated model guidance before sunset on June 12 will likely refine trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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