Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s June 12 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 79.6 °F, driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 80–83 °F range. Southwesterly flow and modest moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping most outcomes within one standard deviation of the mean. Minor spread among guidance arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. Traders therefore price the 80–81 °F bin highest, with rapidly declining odds outside 78–85 °F as forecast confidence remains moderate this far ahead of the 24-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on June 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 12?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
3%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 26%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 12, 2026
67°F or below
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$96 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$39 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$60 ปริมาณ
8%
78-79°F
$114 ปริมาณ
18%
80-81°F
$50 ปริมาณ
35%
82-83°F
$17 ปริมาณ
26%
84-85°F
$3 ปริมาณ
11%
86°F or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s June 12 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 79.6 °F, driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 80–83 °F range. Southwesterly flow and modest moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping most outcomes within one standard deviation of the mean. Minor spread among guidance arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. Traders therefore price the 80–81 °F bin highest, with rapidly declining odds outside 78–85 °F as forecast confidence remains moderate this far ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$588วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s June 12 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 79.6 °F, driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 80–83 °F range. Southwesterly flow and modest moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping most outcomes within one standard deviation of the mean. Minor spread among guidance arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. Traders therefore price the 80–81 °F bin highest, with rapidly declining odds outside 78–85 °F as forecast confidence remains moderate this far ahead of the 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$588วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s June 12 maximum near the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 79.6 °F, driving the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the 80–83 °F range. Southwesterly flow and modest moisture ahead of a weak frontal boundary are expected to limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, keeping most outcomes within one standard deviation of the mean. Minor spread among guidance arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, which could shave a degree or two from the peak. Traders therefore price the 80–81 °F bin highest, with rapidly declining odds outside 78–85 °F as forecast confidence remains moderate this far ahead of the 24-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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