Latest ensemble weather models show a narrow spread of possible maximum temperatures for Panama City on June 12, centered around the climatological June average near 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds for 33–35°C outcomes. Differentiation among these hinges on afternoon convective cloud development, trade-wind strength, and local sea-breeze timing, all of which modulate peak diurnal heating in the region’s humid tropical environment. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to typical model variability in the Intertropical Convergence Zone vicinity, with official guidance from INAMEH and global systems expected to refine the picture before resolution. Traders weigh this inherent day-to-day scatter against historical June ranges of 29–32°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on June 12?
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 23.0%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
32%
35°C
23%
36°C
10%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 32%
33°C 27%
35°C 23.0%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
32%
35°C
23%
36°C
10%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models show a narrow spread of possible maximum temperatures for Panama City on June 12, centered around the climatological June average near 31°C, driving the closely matched market-implied odds for 33–35°C outcomes. Differentiation among these hinges on afternoon convective cloud development, trade-wind strength, and local sea-breeze timing, all of which modulate peak diurnal heating in the region’s humid tropical environment. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains elevated due to typical model variability in the Intertropical Convergence Zone vicinity, with official guidance from INAMEH and global systems expected to refine the picture before resolution. Traders weigh this inherent day-to-day scatter against historical June ranges of 29–32°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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