Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 16?
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 31%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
63°F or below
$86 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$6 ปริมาณ
2%
66-67°F
$36 ปริมาณ
2%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
70-71°F
$11 ปริมาณ
19%
72-73°F
$208 ปริมาณ
31%
74-75°F
$145 ปริมาณ
23%
76-77°F
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
78-79°F
$8 ปริมาณ
3%
80-81°F
$52 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$471วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus drives trader sentiment toward the 70–75°F range for Chicago’s June 16 high, with 72–73°F and 74–75°F holding the highest implied probabilities at 28% and 26%. Moderate southwesterly flow and limited heat advection from the Plains, combined with potential lake-breeze cooling off Lake Michigan, favor these brackets over warmer outcomes. Ensemble spread remains notable, however, as differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage could shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Updated model runs and afternoon NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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