Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Dallas's August 5 high near 100–101°F under sunny skies, southerly flow, and typical early-August humidity, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Regional models show limited day-to-day variability, with highs generally 99–102°F amid seasonal norms where Dallas averages 96–99°F. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range while acknowledging measurement uncertainty at official stations and the potential for slight model shifts before peak heating. No significant frontal passages or enhanced moisture are expected to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 4%
$19,848 ปริมาณ
$19,848 ปริมาณ
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 4%
$19,848 ปริมาณ
$19,848 ปริมาณ
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place Dallas's August 5 high near 100–101°F under sunny skies, southerly flow, and typical early-August humidity, aligning with the market's leading 54.5% implied probability for that bin. Regional models show limited day-to-day variability, with highs generally 99–102°F amid seasonal norms where Dallas averages 96–99°F. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range while acknowledging measurement uncertainty at official stations and the potential for slight model shifts before peak heating. No significant frontal passages or enhanced moisture are expected to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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