Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin for Denver’s August 4 high reflects official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Buckley Space Force Base, that recorded a maximum of 73°F amid a sharp cooldown from prior triple-digit readings. Smoke from regional wildfires, combined with increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, suppressed solar heating and limited afternoon warming well below the 89°F normal. Model guidance and surface analyses confirmed this rapid transition, aligning market-implied odds with verified data rather than climatological averages. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies allowing greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, though post-event verification leaves little room for revision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$48,080 ปริมาณ
$48,080 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$48,080 ปริมาณ
$48,080 ปริมาณ
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$5,508 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$6,996 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$7,921 ปริมาณ
100%
76-77°F
$4,454 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$7,611 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$7,490 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$2,785 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$2,595 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$540 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$733 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin for Denver’s August 4 high reflects official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Buckley Space Force Base, that recorded a maximum of 73°F amid a sharp cooldown from prior triple-digit readings. Smoke from regional wildfires, combined with increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, suppressed solar heating and limited afternoon warming well below the 89°F normal. Model guidance and surface analyses confirmed this rapid transition, aligning market-implied odds with verified data rather than climatological averages. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies allowing greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, though post-event verification leaves little room for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,080วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin for Denver’s August 4 high reflects official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Buckley Space Force Base, that recorded a maximum of 73°F amid a sharp cooldown from prior triple-digit readings. Smoke from regional wildfires, combined with increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, suppressed solar heating and limited afternoon warming well below the 89°F normal. Model guidance and surface analyses confirmed this rapid transition, aligning market-implied odds with verified data rather than climatological averages. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies allowing greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, though post-event verification leaves little room for revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,080วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 74-75°F bin for Denver’s August 4 high reflects official observations from National Weather Service stations, including Buckley Space Force Base, that recorded a maximum of 73°F amid a sharp cooldown from prior triple-digit readings. Smoke from regional wildfires, combined with increased cloud cover and a shift to northerly flow, suppressed solar heating and limited afternoon warming well below the 89°F normal. Model guidance and surface analyses confirmed this rapid transition, aligning market-implied odds with verified data rather than climatological averages. Scenarios that could have altered the outcome include clearer skies allowing greater insolation or delayed frontal passage, though post-event verification leaves little room for revision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย