Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
17°C 7.2%
ใหม่
$44,922 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$44,922 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
45%
16°C
24%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
17°C 7.2%
ใหม่
$44,922 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$44,922 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$6,300 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$1,833 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,698 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$3,278 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$4,970 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$3,839 ปริมาณ
22%
15°C
$4,215 ปริมาณ
45%
16°C
$5,443 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$4,417 ปริมาณ
7%
18°C or higher
$7,136 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,922วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,922วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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