Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 19?
Highest temperature in London on May 19?
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
16°C 21%
19°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
30%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
16°C 21%
19°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
12°C or below
$52 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$60 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$40 ปริมาณ
11%
16°C
$23 ปริมาณ
21%
17°C
$43 ปริมาณ
30%
18°C
$67 ปริมาณ
31%
19°C
$56 ปริมาณ
18%
20°C
$84 ปริมาณ
6%
21°C
$102 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$572วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$572วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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