Ensemble model runs from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14 °C in Wellington on May 17, placing that outcome at the front of trader pricing. Late-autumn conditions, including moderate southerly flow across Cook Strait and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, align closely with the station’s climatological average of 14–16 °C for mid-May. Recent overnight temperatures in the 8–10 °C range and a lack of strong northerly advection have kept warming potential modest, while forecast uncertainty remains low enough to favor 14 °C over the 13 °C or 15 °C brackets. Final official observations from the Wellington Airport station will determine resolution once the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 54%
13°C 20%
15°C 15%
12°C 6%
ใหม่
$11,760 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,760 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
20%
14°C
54%
15°C
15%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
13°C 20%
15°C 15%
12°C 6%
ใหม่
$11,760 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,760 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$840 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,289 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$424 ปริมาณ
6%
13°C
$889 ปริมาณ
20%
14°C
$1,129 ปริมาณ
54%
15°C
$1,311 ปริมาณ
15%
16°C
$1,891 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$444 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C or higher
$2,551 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14 °C in Wellington on May 17, placing that outcome at the front of trader pricing. Late-autumn conditions, including moderate southerly flow across Cook Strait and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, align closely with the station’s climatological average of 14–16 °C for mid-May. Recent overnight temperatures in the 8–10 °C range and a lack of strong northerly advection have kept warming potential modest, while forecast uncertainty remains low enough to favor 14 °C over the 13 °C or 15 °C brackets. Final official observations from the Wellington Airport station will determine resolution once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,760วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble model runs from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14 °C in Wellington on May 17, placing that outcome at the front of trader pricing. Late-autumn conditions, including moderate southerly flow across Cook Strait and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, align closely with the station’s climatological average of 14–16 °C for mid-May. Recent overnight temperatures in the 8–10 °C range and a lack of strong northerly advection have kept warming potential modest, while forecast uncertainty remains low enough to favor 14 °C over the 13 °C or 15 °C brackets. Final official observations from the Wellington Airport station will determine resolution once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,760วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNEnsemble model runs from MetService and international guidance point to a daily maximum near 14 °C in Wellington on May 17, placing that outcome at the front of trader pricing. Late-autumn conditions, including moderate southerly flow across Cook Strait and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, align closely with the station’s climatological average of 14–16 °C for mid-May. Recent overnight temperatures in the 8–10 °C range and a lack of strong northerly advection have kept warming potential modest, while forecast uncertainty remains low enough to favor 14 °C over the 13 °C or 15 °C brackets. Final official observations from the Wellington Airport station will determine resolution once the day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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