Current Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–29°C in Taipei tomorrow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection, placing the market-implied probability tightly clustered between 29°C and 31°C. This positioning reflects the subtropical ridge maintaining warm advection from the south while sea-surface temperatures in the Taiwan Strait hover near seasonal norms of 26–27°C, limiting rapid intensification. Minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs centers on the exact timing and coverage of any showers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C. Historical May maxima at Songshan Airport average 28–30°C, underscoring how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation will determine the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
27%
30°C
33%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$793 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$555 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$935 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,897 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,159 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$795 ปริมาณ
12%
29°C
$440 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$350 ปริมาณ
33%
31°C
$439 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$1,202 ปริมาณ
7%
33°C or higher
$3,020 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–29°C in Taipei tomorrow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection, placing the market-implied probability tightly clustered between 29°C and 31°C. This positioning reflects the subtropical ridge maintaining warm advection from the south while sea-surface temperatures in the Taiwan Strait hover near seasonal norms of 26–27°C, limiting rapid intensification. Minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs centers on the exact timing and coverage of any showers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C. Historical May maxima at Songshan Airport average 28–30°C, underscoring how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation will determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,585วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–29°C in Taipei tomorrow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection, placing the market-implied probability tightly clustered between 29°C and 31°C. This positioning reflects the subtropical ridge maintaining warm advection from the south while sea-surface temperatures in the Taiwan Strait hover near seasonal norms of 26–27°C, limiting rapid intensification. Minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs centers on the exact timing and coverage of any showers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C. Historical May maxima at Songshan Airport average 28–30°C, underscoring how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation will determine the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,585วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent Central Weather Administration forecasts project a daytime high of 28–29°C in Taipei tomorrow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection, placing the market-implied probability tightly clustered between 29°C and 31°C. This positioning reflects the subtropical ridge maintaining warm advection from the south while sea-surface temperatures in the Taiwan Strait hover near seasonal norms of 26–27°C, limiting rapid intensification. Minor model spread between GFS and ECMWF runs centers on the exact timing and coverage of any showers, which could suppress the maximum by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing that pushes readings to 31°C. Historical May maxima at Songshan Airport average 28–30°C, underscoring how small differences in boundary-layer moisture and insolation will determine the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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