The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwest winds across Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on September 4. PAGASA guidance lists a 26–32°C range while ensemble models converge on highs around 84–85°F (29°C) amid 90%+ storm chances and high humidity. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 39% implied probability edging 30°C at 34%, reflects uncertainty over brief clearing or localized heating amid variable monsoon intensity, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations and updated model runs expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 4?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 4?
31°C 42%
30°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
34%
31°C
42%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
31°C 42%
30°C 34%
29°C 15%
32°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$107 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$297 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$173 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$231 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$25 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$501 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C
$73 ปริมาณ
34%
31°C
$922 ปริมาณ
42%
32°C
$201 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwest winds across Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on September 4. PAGASA guidance lists a 26–32°C range while ensemble models converge on highs around 84–85°F (29°C) amid 90%+ storm chances and high humidity. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 39% implied probability edging 30°C at 34%, reflects uncertainty over brief clearing or localized heating amid variable monsoon intensity, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations and updated model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,965วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwest winds across Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on September 4. PAGASA guidance lists a 26–32°C range while ensemble models converge on highs around 84–85°F (29°C) amid 90%+ storm chances and high humidity. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 39% implied probability edging 30°C at 34%, reflects uncertainty over brief clearing or localized heating amid variable monsoon intensity, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations and updated model runs expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,965วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The enhanced southwest monsoon, strengthened by Tropical Storm Pilandok exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility, drives persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southwest winds across Manila, suppressing peak daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C on September 4. PAGASA guidance lists a 26–32°C range while ensemble models converge on highs around 84–85°F (29°C) amid 90%+ storm chances and high humidity. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 39% implied probability edging 30°C at 34%, reflects uncertainty over brief clearing or localized heating amid variable monsoon intensity, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations and updated model runs expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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