Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 4?
21°C or below 91%
31°C or higher 83%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
91%
22°C
18%
23°C
48%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
32%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
83%
21°C or below 91%
31°C or higher 83%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
91%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate persistent southwest monsoon flow with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and frequent showers through September 4, which limit nighttime radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C. Model consensus from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no shows overnight lows near 26–27°C amid southwest winds of 8–11 m/s that enhance mixing and suppress extremes. Trader emphasis on both sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and any brief clear spells that could allow greater cooling or warming, while mid-range probabilities align with typical September climatology of 25–27°C minima under similar conditions. Updated global model runs over the next 24 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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