Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok drives trader uncertainty for Manila's September 3 minimum temperature. Official PAGASA and model guidance indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with high humidity and southwest winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. This setup favors mid-20s readings over extremes, yet forecast spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates balanced odds across bins from 21°C or below to 31°C or higher. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but active habagat suppression of diurnal range keeps near-term consensus moderate amid evolving model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
20%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
34%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
69%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
20%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
50%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok drives trader uncertainty for Manila's September 3 minimum temperature. Official PAGASA and model guidance indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with high humidity and southwest winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. This setup favors mid-20s readings over extremes, yet forecast spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates balanced odds across bins from 21°C or below to 31°C or higher. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but active habagat suppression of diurnal range keeps near-term consensus moderate amid evolving model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok drives trader uncertainty for Manila's September 3 minimum temperature. Official PAGASA and model guidance indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with high humidity and southwest winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. This setup favors mid-20s readings over extremes, yet forecast spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates balanced odds across bins from 21°C or below to 31°C or higher. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but active habagat suppression of diurnal range keeps near-term consensus moderate amid evolving model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon enhancement from nearby tropical systems like Tropical Depression Pilandok drives trader uncertainty for Manila's September 3 minimum temperature. Official PAGASA and model guidance indicate overnight lows near 26–27°C under cloudy, rainy conditions with high humidity and southwest winds, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. This setup favors mid-20s readings over extremes, yet forecast spread in rainfall timing and intensity creates balanced odds across bins from 21°C or below to 31°C or higher. Historical September averages near 24–25°C provide context, but active habagat suppression of diurnal range keeps near-term consensus moderate amid evolving model runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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