Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to the remnants of tropical storm Saudel, keeping daytime maxima clustered around 28–30°C. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, in contrast to clearer subtropical monsoon patterns that historically allow highs near 31°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited disagreement on overall rain timing, yet small shifts in storm track or convective bursts could push the daily maximum toward 27°C or 31°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with outcomes differentiated by the precise balance between cloud thickness, wind speed, and any afternoon clearing. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
29°C 24%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
11%
28°C
22%
29°C
24%
30°C
20%
31°C
14%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 24%
28°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
23°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$122 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$123 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$60 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$11 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$52 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$20 ปริมาณ
10%
33°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to the remnants of tropical storm Saudel, keeping daytime maxima clustered around 28–30°C. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, in contrast to clearer subtropical monsoon patterns that historically allow highs near 31°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited disagreement on overall rain timing, yet small shifts in storm track or convective bursts could push the daily maximum toward 27°C or 31°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with outcomes differentiated by the precise balance between cloud thickness, wind speed, and any afternoon clearing. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$394วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to the remnants of tropical storm Saudel, keeping daytime maxima clustered around 28–30°C. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, in contrast to clearer subtropical monsoon patterns that historically allow highs near 31°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited disagreement on overall rain timing, yet small shifts in storm track or convective bursts could push the daily maximum toward 27°C or 31°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with outcomes differentiated by the precise balance between cloud thickness, wind speed, and any afternoon clearing. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$394วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 3 indicate persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and northerly winds tied to the remnants of tropical storm Saudel, keeping daytime maxima clustered around 28–30°C. These conditions suppress peak heating by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, in contrast to clearer subtropical monsoon patterns that historically allow highs near 31°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited disagreement on overall rain timing, yet small shifts in storm track or convective bursts could push the daily maximum toward 27°C or 31°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with outcomes differentiated by the precise balance between cloud thickness, wind speed, and any afternoon clearing. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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