Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show daytime highs centered around 27–28°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited solar heating amid moderate humidity levels near 50–60%. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS supports this range, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong warm advection patterns expected to push maxima higher. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C over 28°C or above align with observed cooling trends from late August and typical early-September climatology near 28–29°C at the Atatürk Airport station, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
16%
26°C
54%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$42 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$23 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$23 ปริมาณ
16%
26°C
$1,883 ปริมาณ
54%
27°C
$16 ปริมาณ
26%
28°C
$50 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show daytime highs centered around 27–28°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited solar heating amid moderate humidity levels near 50–60%. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS supports this range, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong warm advection patterns expected to push maxima higher. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C over 28°C or above align with observed cooling trends from late August and typical early-September climatology near 28–29°C at the Atatürk Airport station, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,094วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show daytime highs centered around 27–28°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited solar heating amid moderate humidity levels near 50–60%. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS supports this range, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong warm advection patterns expected to push maxima higher. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C over 28°C or above align with observed cooling trends from late August and typical early-September climatology near 28–29°C at the Atatürk Airport station, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,094วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show daytime highs centered around 27–28°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driven by persistent northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limited solar heating amid moderate humidity levels near 50–60%. Ensemble model consensus from sources such as ECMWF and GFS supports this range, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong warm advection patterns expected to push maxima higher. Trader-implied probabilities favoring 26–27°C over 28°C or above align with observed cooling trends from late August and typical early-September climatology near 28–29°C at the Atatürk Airport station, though forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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