Enhanced Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon, with forecasts of moderate to heavy rain showers on September 2, is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 25–27°C for Manila’s daily minimum. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light to moderate southwest winds promote mixing that supports lows near the 24–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA sub-seasonal guidance indicates near-average temperatures for the period, but model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that narrows differentiation between adjacent Celsius thresholds. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima, producing balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 2?
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
98%
22°C
11%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
94%
26°C
97%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
98%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
98%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$21 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
97%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
29°C
$1 ปริมาณ
98%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon, with forecasts of moderate to heavy rain showers on September 2, is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 25–27°C for Manila’s daily minimum. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light to moderate southwest winds promote mixing that supports lows near the 24–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA sub-seasonal guidance indicates near-average temperatures for the period, but model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that narrows differentiation between adjacent Celsius thresholds. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima, producing balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Enhanced Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon, with forecasts of moderate to heavy rain showers on September 2, is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 25–27°C for Manila’s daily minimum. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light to moderate southwest winds promote mixing that supports lows near the 24–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA sub-seasonal guidance indicates near-average temperatures for the period, but model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that narrows differentiation between adjacent Celsius thresholds. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima, producing balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Enhanced Southwest Monsoon activity over Luzon, with forecasts of moderate to heavy rain showers on September 2, is the main driver keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 25–27°C for Manila’s daily minimum. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling, while light to moderate southwest winds promote mixing that supports lows near the 24–26°C climatological baseline. PAGASA sub-seasonal guidance indicates near-average temperatures for the period, but model spreads in precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that narrows differentiation between adjacent Celsius thresholds. Traders weigh these variables against historical September minima, producing balanced probabilities across the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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