Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum in Panama City on August 5, reflecting model guidance for typical wet-season conditions in the tropical maritime climate. Persistent high humidity, convective cloud cover associated with the ITCZ, and moderate trade-wind flow limit daytime heating, while solar insolation peaks near the summer solstice. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, provides a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to long-term baselines but has not yet produced extreme heat. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, and on local station measurement variability. Updated short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on August 5?
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
20%
30°C
37%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
32°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
20%
30°C
37%
31°C
28%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C as the likely daily maximum in Panama City on August 5, reflecting model guidance for typical wet-season conditions in the tropical maritime climate. Persistent high humidity, convective cloud cover associated with the ITCZ, and moderate trade-wind flow limit daytime heating, while solar insolation peaks near the summer solstice. A strengthening El Niño event, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, provides a modest positive temperature anomaly relative to long-term baselines but has not yet produced extreme heat. Small differences among the leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C, and on local station measurement variability. Updated short-range forecasts from regional meteorological services will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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