Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.5%
22°C 1.1%
ใหม่
$83,327 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$83,327 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
82%
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.5%
22°C 1.1%
ใหม่
$83,327 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$83,327 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,932 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$5,911 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5,706 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$8,650 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$4,641 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,445 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$9,398 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$8,317 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$7,785 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$4,631 ปริมาณ
16%
25°C or higher
$11,947 ปริมาณ
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,327วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,327วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and driving the 81% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average daily highs typically rise from around 23°C early in the month toward 25°C, yet current above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures add modest warming potential. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread for this timeframe, with resolution hinging on the official maximum temperature reading and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover before the 24-hour window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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