Recent Environment Canada forecasts indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 5, 2026, driving the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome while keeping 28°C and 30°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Early August warmth across southern Ontario, fueled by a building ridge and above-seasonal temperatures through the first nine days, supports this range amid typical late-summer humidity that can enhance perceived heat without altering the official maximum. Model consensus from government sources points to minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 29°C, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent similar markets resolving at comparable levels. Updated observations or minor forecast adjustments from official monitoring stations could shift probabilities if conditions deviate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 5?
29°C 44%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
27°C 6%
ใหม่
$12,732 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,732 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
25%
29°C
44%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
27°C 6%
ใหม่
$12,732 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,732 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$455 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$856 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,749 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,423 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$561 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$1,411 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$2,770 ปริมาณ
44%
30°C
$791 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$711 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$665 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$341 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada forecasts indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 5, 2026, driving the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome while keeping 28°C and 30°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Early August warmth across southern Ontario, fueled by a building ridge and above-seasonal temperatures through the first nine days, supports this range amid typical late-summer humidity that can enhance perceived heat without altering the official maximum. Model consensus from government sources points to minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 29°C, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent similar markets resolving at comparable levels. Updated observations or minor forecast adjustments from official monitoring stations could shift probabilities if conditions deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,732วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada forecasts indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 5, 2026, driving the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome while keeping 28°C and 30°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Early August warmth across southern Ontario, fueled by a building ridge and above-seasonal temperatures through the first nine days, supports this range amid typical late-summer humidity that can enhance perceived heat without altering the official maximum. Model consensus from government sources points to minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 29°C, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent similar markets resolving at comparable levels. Updated observations or minor forecast adjustments from official monitoring stations could shift probabilities if conditions deviate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,732วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Environment Canada forecasts indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 5, 2026, driving the 45.5% market-implied probability for that outcome while keeping 28°C and 30°C nearly tied at 22.5% each. Early August warmth across southern Ontario, fueled by a building ridge and above-seasonal temperatures through the first nine days, supports this range amid typical late-summer humidity that can enhance perceived heat without altering the official maximum. Model consensus from government sources points to minimal cloud cover and light winds favoring peak readings near 29°C, consistent with climatological norms for the date and recent similar markets resolving at comparable levels. Updated observations or minor forecast adjustments from official monitoring stations could shift probabilities if conditions deviate.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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