Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว15s+ 56%
10–15s 19%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.0%
$268,594 ปริมาณ
$268,594 ปริมาณ
No Handshake
4%
<2s
1%
2–6s
7%
6–10s
16%
10–15s
19%
15s+
56%
Photographed only
3%
15s+ 56%
10–15s 19%
6–10s 16%
2–6s 7.0%
$268,594 ปริมาณ
$268,594 ปริมาณ
No Handshake
4%
<2s
1%
2–6s
7%
6–10s
16%
10–15s
19%
15s+
56%
Photographed only
3%
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors a prolonged 15s+ handshake at 57.5% for the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing, driven by historical precedent—their 27-second grip at last year's APEC summit in Busan—and Trump's signature firm, extended handshake style seen in prior diplomacy. Trump's arrival yesterday with CEOs like Elon Musk and Jensen Huang signals business-focused rapport amid trade war de-escalation efforts on tariffs, AI, and rare earths, reinforced by a warm reception from flag-waving Chinese students. Shorter durations (10–15s at 20%, 6–10s at 15.5%) reflect competitive uncertainty, while no-handshake (1.3%) remains improbable under bilateral protocol for the May 14–15 meetings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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