The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว54 100.0%
≤49 <1%
50 <1%
51 <1%
$242,080 ปริมาณ
$242,080 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
≤49
No
50
No
51
No
52
No
53
No
54
Yes
55
No
56
No
57
No
58
No
59
No
60+
No
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
No
54 100.0%
≤49 <1%
50 <1%
51 <1%
$242,080 ปริมาณ
$242,080 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
≤49
$55,971 ปริมาณ
No
50
$14,246 ปริมาณ
No
51
$16,371 ปริมาณ
No
52
$10,336 ปริมาณ
No
53
$4,782 ปริมาณ
No
54
$6,801 ปริมาณ
Yes
55
$10,910 ปริมาณ
No
56
$20,049 ปริมาณ
No
57
$13,784 ปริมาณ
No
58
$15,619 ปริมาณ
No
59
$15,777 ปริมาณ
No
60+
$47,838 ปริมาณ
No
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
$9,597 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$242,080วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”.
Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$242,080วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Senate's 54-45 confirmation of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13 reflects trader certainty on the exact vote tally, driven by the Republican majority's unified support—all 53 GOP senators voted yes—augmented by Pennsylvania Democrat John Fetterman's sole crossover amid economic pressures favoring Trump's nominee. This followed the Banking Committee's party-line advancement last week, with minimal holds despite Democratic criticism over Fed independence. One senator's absence kept the total at 99 votes. Post-confirmation, procedural finality and historical precedent for swift Fed chair approvals leave scant room for challenges like recounts or disqualifications, cementing the 54 outcome as commanding trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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