**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces steep structural challenges ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Multiple defections have depleted its Knesset faction, with former members joining stronger opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad. Recent September 2026 polls from outlets including Maariv/Lazar, Channel 13/Midgam, i24NEWS/Direct Polls, and others consistently place the party between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold and far from historical peaks. Gantz submitted a revised slate in early September despite repeated calls from opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. These persistent polling trends and party fragmentation underpin trader consensus that the vote share will remain low, with the highest-probability brackets clustered under 2%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
2-3.25% 20%
1.25-2% 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
39%
0.75-1.25%
22%
1.25-2%
18%
2-3.25%
20%
3.25%+
9%
<0.75% 39%
0.75-1.25% 22%
2-3.25% 20%
1.25-2% 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$244 ปริมาณ
39%
0.75-1.25%
$323 ปริมาณ
22%
1.25-2%
$15 ปริมาณ
18%
2-3.25%
$15 ปริมาณ
20%
3.25%+
$224 ปริมาณ
9%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces steep structural challenges ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Multiple defections have depleted its Knesset faction, with former members joining stronger opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad. Recent September 2026 polls from outlets including Maariv/Lazar, Channel 13/Midgam, i24NEWS/Direct Polls, and others consistently place the party between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold and far from historical peaks. Gantz submitted a revised slate in early September despite repeated calls from opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. These persistent polling trends and party fragmentation underpin trader consensus that the vote share will remain low, with the highest-probability brackets clustered under 2%.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$821วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces steep structural challenges ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Multiple defections have depleted its Knesset faction, with former members joining stronger opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad. Recent September 2026 polls from outlets including Maariv/Lazar, Channel 13/Midgam, i24NEWS/Direct Polls, and others consistently place the party between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold and far from historical peaks. Gantz submitted a revised slate in early September despite repeated calls from opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. These persistent polling trends and party fragmentation underpin trader consensus that the vote share will remain low, with the highest-probability brackets clustered under 2%.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$821วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces steep structural challenges ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election.** Multiple defections have depleted its Knesset faction, with former members joining stronger opposition lists such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad. Recent September 2026 polls from outlets including Maariv/Lazar, Channel 13/Midgam, i24NEWS/Direct Polls, and others consistently place the party between 0.9% and 1.3%, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold and far from historical peaks. Gantz submitted a revised slate in early September despite repeated calls from opposition figures to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes. These persistent polling trends and party fragmentation underpin trader consensus that the vote share will remain low, with the highest-probability brackets clustered under 2%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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