The Republican nominee Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in Kentucky's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent partisan tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 18 points. Gallrein secured the nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, aided by significant outside spending from pro-Trump and pro-Israel groups. The Democratic nominee Melissa Strange faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still occur from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-04 House Election Winner
KY-04 House Election Winner
$34,288 ปริมาณ
$34,288 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$34,288 ปริมาณ
$34,288 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,877 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$9,412 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in Kentucky's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent partisan tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 18 points. Gallrein secured the nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, aided by significant outside spending from pro-Trump and pro-Israel groups. The Democratic nominee Melissa Strange faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still occur from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,288วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in Kentucky's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent partisan tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 18 points. Gallrein secured the nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, aided by significant outside spending from pro-Trump and pro-Israel groups. The Democratic nominee Melissa Strange faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still occur from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,288วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee Ed Gallrein holds a commanding lead in Kentucky's 4th congressional district due to the seat's consistent partisan tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating of Solid Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 18 points. Gallrein secured the nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, aided by significant outside spending from pro-Trump and pro-Israel groups. The Democratic nominee Melissa Strange faces structural headwinds in a district that has elected Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Democratic infrastructure or polling momentum ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still occur from a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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