Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJulia Letlow 90%
John Fleming 9.7%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,808 ปริมาณ
$364,808 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
90%
John Fleming
10%
Bill Cassidy
<1%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 90%
John Fleming 9.7%
Bill Cassidy <1%
Julie Emerson <1%
$364,808 ปริมาณ
$364,808 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
$56,193 ปริมาณ
90%
John Fleming
$80,825 ปริมาณ
10%
Bill Cassidy
$66,300 ปริมาณ
<1%
Julie Emerson
$37,342 ปริมาณ
<1%
Blake Miguez
$24,964 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kathy Seiden
$11,888 ปริมาณ
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
$15,997 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
$12,205 ปริมาณ
<1%
Randall Arrington
$18,702 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tracy Dendy
$20,095 ปริมาณ
<1%
Chris Holder
$9,207 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xan John
$11,091 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$364,808วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$364,808วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Julia Letlow leads the Republican field for the Louisiana U.S. Senate nomination with an 89.5% implied probability, reflecting her first-place finish in the May 16 primary with roughly 45% of the vote. President Trump’s endorsement helped her consolidate support among primary voters opposed to incumbent Bill Cassidy, who received about 25% after his 2021 impeachment vote against Trump. State Treasurer John Fleming, the other runoff qualifier at 28%, trails in the June 27 contest as traders assess Letlow’s stronger polling among the party’s base and her established path through the state’s majority-vote runoff system. No other candidate exceeds 0.1% in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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