Current forecasts from regional models indicate Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows within a narrow climatological band around the 26–27 °C June average. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted by the Hong Kong Observatory further support this range, though short-term shifts in cloud cover or monsoon flow could tip the daily minimum by 1 °C either way. Updated model runs and official Observatory guidance expected within 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 4.5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
28°C 4.5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models indicate Hong Kong’s overnight minimum on June 18 will likely settle near 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s closely matched leading outcomes. Typical early-summer conditions feature high humidity, light winds, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows within a narrow climatological band around the 26–27 °C June average. Above-normal seasonal temperatures noted by the Hong Kong Observatory further support this range, though short-term shifts in cloud cover or monsoon flow could tip the daily minimum by 1 °C either way. Updated model runs and official Observatory guidance expected within 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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