The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 99.6%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,510 ปริมาณ
$28,510 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
18°C or below <1%
28°C or higher <1%
19°C <1%
$28,510 ปริมาณ
$28,510 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,089 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$672 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$2,815 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$6,443 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$7,748 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,338 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,117 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$795 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,406 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,510วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,510วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThe overwhelming trader consensus at 99.7% for a 23°C low reflects verified overnight observations from the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 degrees Celsius on May 17 amid stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical of late spring. These readings, taken at multiple calibrated urban and airport stations, align closely with seasonal climatological averages for May minima near 24°C, where limited radiative cooling under moderate humidity and light winds prevented further drops. This near-certainty leaves scant probability for other thresholds unless rare post-event data revisions arise from instrument recalibration or station discrepancies, scenarios that official protocols have historically minimized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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