Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 24°C on May 16, supported by southerly monsoon flow from the South China Sea that sustains high humidity and widespread cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with May’s climatological average low of 24–25°C in the subtropical regime, where scattered showers further moderate temperature swings. Recent observational data show no significant cold air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would allow deeper cooling, keeping the 23°C and lower outcomes at low probabilities. Traders’ 75% implied odds for exactly 24°C reflect consensus on these stable conditions, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official 24-hour minimum reading at the urban station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
24°C 76%
23°C 16%
22°C 1.2%
18°C or below <1%
$17,909 ปริมาณ
$17,909 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
76%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 76%
23°C 16%
22°C 1.2%
18°C or below <1%
$17,909 ปริมาณ
$17,909 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,618 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$923 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$635 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,667 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$820 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$864 ปริมาณ
16%
24°C
$607 ปริมาณ
76%
25°C
$3,953 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$4,078 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,350 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,552 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 24°C on May 16, supported by southerly monsoon flow from the South China Sea that sustains high humidity and widespread cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with May’s climatological average low of 24–25°C in the subtropical regime, where scattered showers further moderate temperature swings. Recent observational data show no significant cold air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would allow deeper cooling, keeping the 23°C and lower outcomes at low probabilities. Traders’ 75% implied odds for exactly 24°C reflect consensus on these stable conditions, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official 24-hour minimum reading at the urban station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,909วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 24°C on May 16, supported by southerly monsoon flow from the South China Sea that sustains high humidity and widespread cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with May’s climatological average low of 24–25°C in the subtropical regime, where scattered showers further moderate temperature swings. Recent observational data show no significant cold air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would allow deeper cooling, keeping the 23°C and lower outcomes at low probabilities. Traders’ 75% implied odds for exactly 24°C reflect consensus on these stable conditions, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official 24-hour minimum reading at the urban station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,909วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 24°C on May 16, supported by southerly monsoon flow from the South China Sea that sustains high humidity and widespread cloud cover, limiting overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with May’s climatological average low of 24–25°C in the subtropical regime, where scattered showers further moderate temperature swings. Recent observational data show no significant cold air intrusions or clear-sky episodes that would allow deeper cooling, keeping the 23°C and lower outcomes at low probabilities. Traders’ 75% implied odds for exactly 24°C reflect consensus on these stable conditions, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official 24-hour minimum reading at the urban station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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