Forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate overnight lows in NYC on August 24 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by late-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 60°F and light southwesterly flow. This produces the tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Warmer-than-average August conditions have elevated baselines but also introduce uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent bins rather than favoring extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
68-69°F 38%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 26%
58-59°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
4%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
3%
68-69°F 38%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 26%
58-59°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
56-57°F
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
58-59°F
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
60-61°F
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
62-63°F
$7 ปริมาณ
10%
64-65°F
$1 ปริมาณ
26%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
68-69°F
$26 ปริมาณ
38%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
72-73°F
$9 ปริมาณ
4%
74°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate overnight lows in NYC on August 24 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by late-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 60°F and light southwesterly flow. This produces the tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Warmer-than-average August conditions have elevated baselines but also introduce uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent bins rather than favoring extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate overnight lows in NYC on August 24 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by late-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 60°F and light southwesterly flow. This produces the tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Warmer-than-average August conditions have elevated baselines but also introduce uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent bins rather than favoring extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$84วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional guidance indicate overnight lows in NYC on August 24 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by late-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 60°F and light southwesterly flow. This produces the tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or any weak frontal passage can shift the minimum by 2–3°F. Warmer-than-average August conditions have elevated baselines but also introduce uncertainty from variable humidity and urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities distributed across adjacent bins rather than favoring extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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