Current forecasts from multiple models, including Météo-France and Met Office guidance, indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C in Paris on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a moderating air mass following the warm 32°C day on the 15th. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings toward the 11–12°C historical average low for the date. Trader consensus, with 14°C at 48.5% and 13°C at 35.5% implied probability, aligns closely with the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from further cooling, while the low odds on 12°C or below reflect the absence of significant frontal passages or anomalous chill in near-term data. Official Paris observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 16?
14°C 48%
13°C 41%
15°C 10%
11°C or below 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
7%
13°C
41%
14°C
48%
15°C
10%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
14°C 48%
13°C 41%
15°C 10%
11°C or below 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
12°C
$225 ปริมาณ
7%
13°C
$573 ปริมาณ
41%
14°C
$1,256 ปริมาณ
48%
15°C
$44 ปริมาณ
10%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including Météo-France and Met Office guidance, indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C in Paris on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a moderating air mass following the warm 32°C day on the 15th. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings toward the 11–12°C historical average low for the date. Trader consensus, with 14°C at 48.5% and 13°C at 35.5% implied probability, aligns closely with the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from further cooling, while the low odds on 12°C or below reflect the absence of significant frontal passages or anomalous chill in near-term data. Official Paris observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,099วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including Météo-France and Met Office guidance, indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C in Paris on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a moderating air mass following the warm 32°C day on the 15th. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings toward the 11–12°C historical average low for the date. Trader consensus, with 14°C at 48.5% and 13°C at 35.5% implied probability, aligns closely with the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from further cooling, while the low odds on 12°C or below reflect the absence of significant frontal passages or anomalous chill in near-term data. Official Paris observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,099วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including Météo-France and Met Office guidance, indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C in Paris on September 16 under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and a moderating air mass following the warm 32°C day on the 15th. This setup favors moderate radiative cooling without strong cold advection or clear, calm conditions that could push readings toward the 11–12°C historical average low for the date. Trader consensus, with 14°C at 48.5% and 13°C at 35.5% implied probability, aligns closely with the latest ensemble guidance showing limited downside risk from further cooling, while the low odds on 12°C or below reflect the absence of significant frontal passages or anomalous chill in near-term data. Official Paris observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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