Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 15, with light to moderate northwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h and dew points near 12-14°C, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum temperature of 15-17°C in central Paris. Stable high-pressure conditions and absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities tightly clustered between 16°C and 17°C in trader sentiment. These values align with slightly above-normal late-summer baselines, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 11.6°C, though recent model runs show modest upward revision from earlier guidance due to warmer advection. Resolution hinges on the exact overnight minimum reported by official stations before any diurnal rise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
16°C 38%
17°C 32%
15°C 14%
18°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
14%
16°C
38%
17°C
32%
18°C
8%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 38%
17°C 32%
15°C 14%
18°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$79 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$95 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$106 ปริมาณ
14%
16°C
$195 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$298 ปริมาณ
32%
18°C
$80 ปริมาณ
8%
19°C
$90 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$96 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$59 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 15, with light to moderate northwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h and dew points near 12-14°C, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum temperature of 15-17°C in central Paris. Stable high-pressure conditions and absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities tightly clustered between 16°C and 17°C in trader sentiment. These values align with slightly above-normal late-summer baselines, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 11.6°C, though recent model runs show modest upward revision from earlier guidance due to warmer advection. Resolution hinges on the exact overnight minimum reported by official stations before any diurnal rise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,119วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 15, with light to moderate northwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h and dew points near 12-14°C, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum temperature of 15-17°C in central Paris. Stable high-pressure conditions and absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities tightly clustered between 16°C and 17°C in trader sentiment. These values align with slightly above-normal late-summer baselines, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 11.6°C, though recent model runs show modest upward revision from earlier guidance due to warmer advection. Resolution hinges on the exact overnight minimum reported by official stations before any diurnal rise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,119วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 15, with light to moderate northwesterly winds around 10-15 km/h and dew points near 12-14°C, supporting radiative cooling that favors a minimum temperature of 15-17°C in central Paris. Stable high-pressure conditions and absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover have kept probabilities tightly clustered between 16°C and 17°C in trader sentiment. These values align with slightly above-normal late-summer baselines, where the 1991-2020 average low sits near 11.6°C, though recent model runs show modest upward revision from earlier guidance due to warmer advection. Resolution hinges on the exact overnight minimum reported by official stations before any diurnal rise.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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