**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 15, 2026, reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** High-altitude valley location (around 2,240–2,300 m) combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern prevented radiational cooling below the seasonal baseline. National Meteorological Service forecasts and station data consistently indicated a minimum near 13°C, with hourly observations showing overnight lows stabilizing around that level amid northeasterly flow. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require clearer skies and stronger high-pressure subsidence not observed, while the modest edge for single-digit or sub-7°C thresholds highlights residual model spread in complex terrain. Updated observations and station verification are expected to finalize resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
10°C 100%
6°C or below 99%
7°C 99%
8°C 99%
$823 ปริมาณ
$823 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
6°C or below
99%
7°C
99%
8°C
99%
9°C
99%
10°C
100%
11°C
20%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 100%
6°C or below 99%
7°C 99%
8°C 99%
$823 ปริมาณ
$823 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
6°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
99%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$105 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$55 ปริมาณ
99%
14°C
$485 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 15, 2026, reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** High-altitude valley location (around 2,240–2,300 m) combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern prevented radiational cooling below the seasonal baseline. National Meteorological Service forecasts and station data consistently indicated a minimum near 13°C, with hourly observations showing overnight lows stabilizing around that level amid northeasterly flow. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require clearer skies and stronger high-pressure subsidence not observed, while the modest edge for single-digit or sub-7°C thresholds highlights residual model spread in complex terrain. Updated observations and station verification are expected to finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$823วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 15, 2026, reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** High-altitude valley location (around 2,240–2,300 m) combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern prevented radiational cooling below the seasonal baseline. National Meteorological Service forecasts and station data consistently indicated a minimum near 13°C, with hourly observations showing overnight lows stabilizing around that level amid northeasterly flow. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require clearer skies and stronger high-pressure subsidence not observed, while the modest edge for single-digit or sub-7°C thresholds highlights residual model spread in complex terrain. Updated observations and station verification are expected to finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$823วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Mexico City on September 15, 2026, reflecting model consensus and official guidance.** High-altitude valley location (around 2,240–2,300 m) combined with persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from a typical late-summer monsoon pattern prevented radiational cooling below the seasonal baseline. National Meteorological Service forecasts and station data consistently indicated a minimum near 13°C, with hourly observations showing overnight lows stabilizing around that level amid northeasterly flow. Lower-probability outcomes below 10°C would require clearer skies and stronger high-pressure subsidence not observed, while the modest edge for single-digit or sub-7°C thresholds highlights residual model spread in complex terrain. Updated observations and station verification are expected to finalize resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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