Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 14 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by light northwest winds, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a lingering warm air mass under high pressure. These conditions produce only modest temperature drops after sunset, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any clearer intervals and dew point depression. Model consensus places the most probable range near 16°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 15°C and 16°C, while historical September 14 averages near 11.6°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will provide the key data releases traders are monitoring before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 14?
12°C or below 44%
15°C 40%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
44%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C
30%
16°C
31%
17°C
23%
18°C
28%
19°C
21%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
12°C or below 44%
15°C 40%
13°C 38%
14°C 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
15°C
$151 ปริมาณ
30%
16°C
$61 ปริมาณ
31%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 14 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by light northwest winds, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a lingering warm air mass under high pressure. These conditions produce only modest temperature drops after sunset, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any clearer intervals and dew point depression. Model consensus places the most probable range near 16°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 15°C and 16°C, while historical September 14 averages near 11.6°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will provide the key data releases traders are monitoring before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$212วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 14 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by light northwest winds, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a lingering warm air mass under high pressure. These conditions produce only modest temperature drops after sunset, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any clearer intervals and dew point depression. Model consensus places the most probable range near 16°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 15°C and 16°C, while historical September 14 averages near 11.6°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will provide the key data releases traders are monitoring before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$212วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 14 will likely settle between 15–17°C, driven by light northwest winds, variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and a lingering warm air mass under high pressure. These conditions produce only modest temperature drops after sunset, with the exact minimum hinging on the timing of any clearer intervals and dew point depression. Model consensus places the most probable range near 16°C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds of 15°C and 16°C, while historical September 14 averages near 11.6°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from Météo-France and the next ECMWF cycle will provide the key data releases traders are monitoring before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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