Traders see nearly even odds on minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 15 either dipping to 23°C or below or reaching 33°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty for the overnight low. Short-range models diverge on cloud cover and moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, versus clearer skies or stronger land breezes that allow greater heat loss. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, with monsoon remnants or organized convection often producing 2–4°C anomalies. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, expected wind speeds under 10 km/h, and any late-day precipitation that alters boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Karachi on September 15?
23°C or below 80%
33°C or higher 79%
28°C 40%
27°C 22%
23°C or below
80%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
79%
23°C or below 80%
33°C or higher 79%
28°C 40%
27°C 22%
23°C or below
80%
24°C
19%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
17%
33°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly even odds on minimum temperatures in Karachi on September 15 either dipping to 23°C or below or reaching 33°C or higher, reflecting substantial forecast uncertainty for the overnight low. Short-range models diverge on cloud cover and moisture from the Arabian Sea, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep minima elevated, versus clearer skies or stronger land breezes that allow greater heat loss. Historical September averages hover near 26–28°C, with monsoon remnants or organized convection often producing 2–4°C anomalies. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures near 29°C, expected wind speeds under 10 km/h, and any late-day precipitation that alters boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from global and regional models over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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