Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a September 6 minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95 %, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected overnight further suppress temperature drops by maintaining a moist boundary layer. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds clustering at 25–27 °C, where small differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 24 °C, but the present warm, humid regime supports the elevated trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Shenzhen observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
35%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a September 6 minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95 %, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected overnight further suppress temperature drops by maintaining a moist boundary layer. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds clustering at 25–27 °C, where small differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 24 °C, but the present warm, humid regime supports the elevated trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Shenzhen observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a September 6 minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95 %, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected overnight further suppress temperature drops by maintaining a moist boundary layer. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds clustering at 25–27 °C, where small differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 24 °C, but the present warm, humid regime supports the elevated trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Shenzhen observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration project a September 6 minimum temperature in Shenzhen near 26 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 85–95 %, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected overnight further suppress temperature drops by maintaining a moist boundary layer. These conditions align with the current market-implied odds clustering at 25–27 °C, where small differences in model timing of rainfall or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Historical September minima average closer to 24 °C, but the present warm, humid regime supports the elevated trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Shenzhen observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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