Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature of 26°C in Singapore on September 12, consistent with the market-implied 92.5% probability. Singapore’s equatorial climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings, with September overnight lows typically ranging 25–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon regime of moderate southeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or an earlier rain-cooled air mass, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on September 12?
26°C 99%
22°C or below 94%
24°C 92%
25°C 39%
$623 ปริมาณ
$623 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
94%
23°C
<1%
24°C
92%
25°C
39%
26°C
93%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99%
22°C or below 94%
24°C 92%
25°C 39%
$623 ปริมาณ
$623 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
94%
23°C
<1%
24°C
92%
25°C
39%
26°C
93%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional meteorological models supports a minimum temperature of 26°C in Singapore on September 12, consistent with the market-implied 92.5% probability. Singapore’s equatorial climate produces limited diurnal temperature swings, with September overnight lows typically ranging 25–27°C under the prevailing southwest monsoon regime of moderate southeast winds, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing near 26°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. A realistic challenge could arise from clearer skies enhancing radiative cooling or an earlier rain-cooled air mass, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable steering patterns and model agreement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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