Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with a passing frontal system are moderating overnight radiative cooling across the Tokyo metropolitan area, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 23–24°C according to consensus from global and regional forecast models. Recent observations show similar conditions holding daytime highs near 26–27°C while preventing the clearer skies that typically allow lows to dip into the low 20s or below. Historical September baselines for Tokyo place average overnight minima near 22°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern has kept recent readings elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the leading 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency station data through the night will finalize the recorded low, with any unexpected clearing potentially shifting the result lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 15?
24°C 79%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
74%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 79%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$76 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$116 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$154 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$590 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$544 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$920 ปริมาณ
74%
25°C
$825 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$106 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with a passing frontal system are moderating overnight radiative cooling across the Tokyo metropolitan area, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 23–24°C according to consensus from global and regional forecast models. Recent observations show similar conditions holding daytime highs near 26–27°C while preventing the clearer skies that typically allow lows to dip into the low 20s or below. Historical September baselines for Tokyo place average overnight minima near 22°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern has kept recent readings elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the leading 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency station data through the night will finalize the recorded low, with any unexpected clearing potentially shifting the result lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,668วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with a passing frontal system are moderating overnight radiative cooling across the Tokyo metropolitan area, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 23–24°C according to consensus from global and regional forecast models. Recent observations show similar conditions holding daytime highs near 26–27°C while preventing the clearer skies that typically allow lows to dip into the low 20s or below. Historical September baselines for Tokyo place average overnight minima near 22°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern has kept recent readings elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the leading 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency station data through the night will finalize the recorded low, with any unexpected clearing potentially shifting the result lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,668วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and high humidity associated with a passing frontal system are moderating overnight radiative cooling across the Tokyo metropolitan area, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 23–24°C according to consensus from global and regional forecast models. Recent observations show similar conditions holding daytime highs near 26–27°C while preventing the clearer skies that typically allow lows to dip into the low 20s or below. Historical September baselines for Tokyo place average overnight minima near 22°C, but the current moist, overcast pattern has kept recent readings elevated, aligning trader-implied probabilities with the leading 24°C and 23°C outcomes. Official Japan Meteorological Agency station data through the night will finalize the recorded low, with any unexpected clearing potentially shifting the result lower.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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