Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won Michigan's 8th Congressional District by 7 points in 2024, secured her party's nomination unchallenged after the April 21 filing deadline, bolstering trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party victory. Her campaign holds over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing early Republican fundraising. The Republican primary on August 4 features contenders Amir Hassan, Al Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith in a crowded field, potentially weakening the eventual nominee in the R+1 PVI district rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls, markets reflect incumbency advantage and midterm dynamics favoring challengers to the president's party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-08 House Election Winner
MI-08 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$599 ปริมาณ
86%
Republican Party
$178 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won Michigan's 8th Congressional District by 7 points in 2024, secured her party's nomination unchallenged after the April 21 filing deadline, bolstering trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party victory. Her campaign holds over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing early Republican fundraising. The Republican primary on August 4 features contenders Amir Hassan, Al Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith in a crowded field, potentially weakening the eventual nominee in the R+1 PVI district rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls, markets reflect incumbency advantage and midterm dynamics favoring challengers to the president's party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$777วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won Michigan's 8th Congressional District by 7 points in 2024, secured her party's nomination unchallenged after the April 21 filing deadline, bolstering trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party victory. Her campaign holds over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing early Republican fundraising. The Republican primary on August 4 features contenders Amir Hassan, Al Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith in a crowded field, potentially weakening the eventual nominee in the R+1 PVI district rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls, markets reflect incumbency advantage and midterm dynamics favoring challengers to the president's party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$777วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet, who won Michigan's 8th Congressional District by 7 points in 2024, secured her party's nomination unchallenged after the April 21 filing deadline, bolstering trader consensus at 80.5% for Democratic Party victory. Her campaign holds over $3.4 million cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing early Republican fundraising. The Republican primary on August 4 features contenders Amir Hassan, Al Lemmo, and Thomas J. Smith in a crowded field, potentially weakening the eventual nominee in the R+1 PVI district rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report. Absent recent polls, markets reflect incumbency advantage and midterm dynamics favoring challengers to the president's party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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