Trader consensus on Polymarket prices businessman Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 53% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4 Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of U.S. Rep. John James at 31%, reflecting Johnson's recent surge after confirming ballot access via valid petition signatures filed in late April—unlike his 2022 disqualification over fraudulent signatures. This mitigates a key risk, amplified by Johnson's self-funding for aggressive TV ad spending that challenges James' high name recognition (94% in recent MIRS polling) and poll leads (32% James to 23% Johnson in May 1-7 survey). Former AG Mike Cox rises to 8% on establishment support in the crowded field, with more polls and endorsements likely before the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPerry Johnson 47%
John James 33%
Mike Cox 8.3%
Anthony Hudson 5.2%
$34,595 ปริมาณ
$34,595 ปริมาณ
Perry Johnson
53%
John James
39%
Mike Cox
8%
Anthony Hudson
5%
Joyce Gipson
8%
Karla Wagner
<1%
Aric Nesbitt
<1%
Ralph Rebandt
<1%
Tom Leonard
<1%
William Null
<1%
Evan Space
<1%
Perry Johnson 47%
John James 33%
Mike Cox 8.3%
Anthony Hudson 5.2%
$34,595 ปริมาณ
$34,595 ปริมาณ
Perry Johnson
53%
John James
39%
Mike Cox
8%
Anthony Hudson
5%
Joyce Gipson
8%
Karla Wagner
<1%
Aric Nesbitt
<1%
Ralph Rebandt
<1%
Tom Leonard
<1%
William Null
<1%
Evan Space
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices businessman Perry Johnson as the frontrunner at 53% implied probability to win Michigan's August 4 Republican gubernatorial primary, ahead of U.S. Rep. John James at 31%, reflecting Johnson's recent surge after confirming ballot access via valid petition signatures filed in late April—unlike his 2022 disqualification over fraudulent signatures. This mitigates a key risk, amplified by Johnson's self-funding for aggressive TV ad spending that challenges James' high name recognition (94% in recent MIRS polling) and poll leads (32% James to 23% Johnson in May 1-7 survey). Former AG Mike Cox rises to 8% on establishment support in the crowded field, with more polls and endorsements likely before the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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