Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PL 80%
PSD 5.7%
UNIÃO 3.7%
PT 2.9%
$253,953 ปริมาณ
$253,953 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PL
80%
PSD
6%
UNIÃO
4%
PT
3%
PODEMOS
2%
REPUBLICANOS
2%
MDB
1%
PSB
1%
NOVO
1%
PSDB
<1%
PP
<1%
PDT
<1%
PL 80%
PSD 5.7%
UNIÃO 3.7%
PT 2.9%
$253,953 ปริมาณ
$253,953 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
PL
$242,655 ปริมาณ
80%
PSD
$1,046 ปริมาณ
6%
UNIÃO
$958 ปริมาณ
4%
PT
$1,040 ปริมาณ
3%
PODEMOS
$1,156 ปริมาณ
2%
REPUBLICANOS
$1,080 ปริมาณ
2%
MDB
$1,012 ปริมาณ
1%
PSB
$1,071 ปริมาณ
1%
NOVO
$1,134 ปริมาณ
1%
PSDB
$1,023 ปริมาณ
<1%
PP
$935 ปริมาณ
<1%
PDT
$843 ปริมาณ
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$253,953วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$253,953วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns the Liberal Party (PL) a dominant 78.5 percent probability of securing the most seats in Brazil’s October 2026 Senate election, reflecting its strong national organization and leading or competitive candidates across multiple states. Recent party switches have expanded PL’s congressional bloc ahead of the one-third renewal of the 81-seat chamber, while the April candidate deadline locked in prominent right-leaning contenders backed by its structure. Other parties such as PSD, UNIÃO, PODEMOS, and PT show far lower implied probabilities because of weaker statewide consolidation and greater fragmentation in key races. The market reflects these structural dynamics in a multi-party contest where no challenger has demonstrated comparable momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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