Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว30+ 39%
20-24 29%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$17,882 ปริมาณ
$17,882 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
<5
1%
5-9
2%
10-14
3%
15-19
12%
20-24
29%
25-29
29%
30+
39%
30+ 39%
20-24 29%
25-29 29%
15-19 10.2%
$17,882 ปริมาณ
$17,882 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$827 ปริมาณ
1%
5-9
$1,320 ปริมาณ
2%
10-14
$3,335 ปริมาณ
3%
15-19
$1,808 ปริมาณ
12%
20-24
$3,420 ปริมาณ
29%
25-29
$1,536 ปริมาณ
29%
30+
$5,635 ปริมาณ
39%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,882วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,882วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates and seat models show the CAQ projected near 19–23 seats amid a tight popular vote race with the PQ and Liberals, reflecting voter fatigue with the incumbent after eight years in power. Attacks during the first leaders’ debate on spending overruns, project management issues, and economic performance have kept CAQ support fragmented across regions, limiting vote efficiency in key ridings. High incumbent retirements and a compressed five-week campaign add volatility to seat outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of late swings or stronger regional pockets pushing the CAQ above 30 seats against the more probable range of 20–29, with the second debate and final polling waves likely to clarify the distribution before the October 5 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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