The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding clear structural advantages as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake alongside nationwide local elections. Recent polls showing DP support near 45 percent against roughly 20 percent for the People Power Party have reinforced trader consensus that the party will secure 10 or more seats, an outcome now priced at 77 percent. Internal stability following Han Byung-do’s reelection as floor leader and the party’s decision to contest every contested constituency further support this positioning. The district map favors the DP, as many vacancies arose from lawmakers shifting to local races in previously won strongholds, limiting opposition pathways despite ongoing candidate nominations and campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว10+ 80.7%
8-9 12.4%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 ปริมาณ
$34,584 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
<1%
6-7
<1%
8-9
12%
10+
77%
10+ 80.7%
8-9 12.4%
2-3 <1%
0-1 <1%
$34,584 ปริมาณ
$34,584 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0-1
$3,928 ปริมาณ
<1%
2-3
$5,328 ปริมาณ
<1%
4-5
$3,763 ปริมาณ
<1%
6-7
$3,754 ปริมาณ
<1%
8-9
$4,426 ปริมาณ
12%
10+
$13,385 ปริมาณ
77%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding clear structural advantages as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake alongside nationwide local elections. Recent polls showing DP support near 45 percent against roughly 20 percent for the People Power Party have reinforced trader consensus that the party will secure 10 or more seats, an outcome now priced at 77 percent. Internal stability following Han Byung-do’s reelection as floor leader and the party’s decision to contest every contested constituency further support this positioning. The district map favors the DP, as many vacancies arose from lawmakers shifting to local races in previously won strongholds, limiting opposition pathways despite ongoing candidate nominations and campaign momentum.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,584วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding clear structural advantages as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake alongside nationwide local elections. Recent polls showing DP support near 45 percent against roughly 20 percent for the People Power Party have reinforced trader consensus that the party will secure 10 or more seats, an outcome now priced at 77 percent. Internal stability following Han Byung-do’s reelection as floor leader and the party’s decision to contest every contested constituency further support this positioning. The district map favors the DP, as many vacancies arose from lawmakers shifting to local races in previously won strongholds, limiting opposition pathways despite ongoing candidate nominations and campaign momentum.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,584วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 by-elections holding clear structural advantages as the ruling party under President Lee Jae-myung, with up to 14 National Assembly seats at stake alongside nationwide local elections. Recent polls showing DP support near 45 percent against roughly 20 percent for the People Power Party have reinforced trader consensus that the party will secure 10 or more seats, an outcome now priced at 77 percent. Internal stability following Han Byung-do’s reelection as floor leader and the party’s decision to contest every contested constituency further support this positioning. The district map favors the DP, as many vacancies arose from lawmakers shifting to local races in previously won strongholds, limiting opposition pathways despite ongoing candidate nominations and campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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